id stringlengths 24 24 | prompt stringlengths 465 1.44k | end_time stringdate 2026-08-05 00:00:00 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | level int64 1 4 | en_title stringlengths 31 210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
6a53891052036d002a98c15c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 5th district in 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-11 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Jahana Hayes
B. the outcome be Winter Solomita
C. the outcome be Jackson Taddeo-Waite
D. the outcome be Oth... | 2026-08-11 | 2 | Who will win the Democratic primary in Connecticut's 5th district in 2026? |
6a5e150f398772002c40476e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2026 Tour de France Femmes? (resolved around 2026-08-10 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Demi Vollering
B. the outcome be Pauline Ferrand-Prevot
C. the outcome be Anna van der Breggen
D. the outcome be Kasia Niewiadoma-Phinney... | 2026-08-10 | 2 | Who will win the 2026 Tour de France Femmes? |
6a5e150f398772002c404774 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which MTG cards will be banned from standard before the early rotation window? (resolved around 2026-08-11 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Badgermole Cub
B. the outcome be Enduring Curiosity
C. the outcome be Agatha's Soul Cauldron
D. the out... | 2026-08-11 | 2 | Which MTG cards will be banned from standard before the early rotation window? |
6a62098e454dd8002dbc266d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Brazil's monthly inflation rate in July (resolved around 2026-08-11 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0.2% or less
B. the outcome be More than 0.2%, less than 0.5%
C. the outcome be Between 0.5% and 0.7%
D. the outcome be More than 0.7%"
... | 2026-08-11 | 2 | Brazil's monthly inflation rate in July |
6a47ab90e4cde4002d707f68 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Winner of Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary (resolved around 2026-08-11 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Penny Flanagan} or \boxed{Angie Craig}
Do not use any other fo... | 2026-08-11 | 1 | Winner of Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary |
6a562c0fc74f360035962555 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "China's monthly consumer inflation (CPI) greater than -0.3% in July? (resolved around 2026-08-09 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other f... | 2026-08-09 | 1 | China's monthly consumer inflation (CPI) greater than -0.3% in July? |
6a62098e454dd8002dbc266c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will US nonfarm payroll employment increase in July? (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not re... | 2026-08-07 | 1 | Will US nonfarm payroll employment increase in July? |
6a5a209a9f76f3002d448e9b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the Democratic primary in Hawaii's 1st congressional district? (resolved around 2026-08-09 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Ed Case
B. the outcome be Jarrett Keohokalole
C. the outcome be Other"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer... | 2026-08-09 | 1 | Who will win the Democratic primary in Hawaii's 1st congressional district? |
6a62098e454dd8002dbc266b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "US unemployment rate above 4.2% in July? (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make... | 2026-08-07 | 1 | US unemployment rate above 4.2% in July? |
6a6de716f86dc9002b434521 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Bruno Lopes (resolved around 2026-08-09 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a predic... | 2026-08-09 | 1 | Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Bruno Lopes |
685141c3b3bf920060db7796 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, who will be the players ranked from 13 to 15 in the latest PIF ATP Singles Ranking? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any... | 2026-08-10 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 13 to 15 in the latest PIF ATP Singles Ranking? (Give the names only) |
685141eca047fd005f77ef02 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, who will be the players ranked from 5 to 7 in the latest PIF WTA Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any ... | 2026-08-10 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 5 to 7 in the latest PIF WTA Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only) |
685141d47b52bf0069cac9ee | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, who will be the players ranked from 6 to 8 in the latest PIF ATP Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any ... | 2026-08-10 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 6 to 8 in the latest PIF ATP Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only) |
68517362eb11c800614780de | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-07, what will the price index for fruits be in the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index from China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final an... | 2026-08-07 | 3 | what will the price index for fruits be in the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index from China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统)? |
685173c159f71f006037a1e9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-11, what will be the value in Chinese Yuan of 100 units of US Dollar at the central parity rate?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format... | 2026-08-11 | 3 | what will be the value in Chinese Yuan of 100 units of US Dollar at the central parity rate? |
687071faab86ea0060215bc7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, which self-media accounts will be ranked from 6 to 8 on KolRank's daily Weibo self-media overall ranking?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any... | 2026-08-10 | 3 | which self-media accounts will be ranked from 6 to 8 on KolRank's daily Weibo self-media overall ranking? |
685171e0560ebb0061efb2c3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, what will be the total market capitalization (总市值) of Ping An Bank (000001) on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in hundreds of millions of yuan (two decimal places)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | what will be the total market capitalization (总市值) of Ping An Bank (000001) on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in hundreds of millions of yuan (two decimal places)? |
6867949457e54a0061f98f8c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-07, what will be the Grain Index (粮食货种指数) of the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (中国沿海散货运价指数) published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PRED... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | what will be the Grain Index (粮食货种指数) of the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (中国沿海散货运价指数) published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange? |
68514628aca664006bceb217 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-07, according to the latest China Influenza Weekly Report (中国流感监测周报) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, how many outbreaks of influenza-like illness (流感样病例暴发疫情) will be reported nationwide?"
IMPORTANT: ... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | according to the latest China Influenza Weekly Report (中国流感监测周报) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, how many outbreaks of influenza-like illness (流感样病例暴发疫情) will be reported nationwide? |
6851740359f71f006037a1ed | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-06, what will be the day's close for India Market Fund LOF (SZ:164824) (in CNY)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse ... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | what will be the day's close for India Market Fund LOF (SZ:164824) (in CNY)? |
6854dcb27df94a0060eb86cf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, what will be the projects ranked from 7 to 9 on OpenGithubs' github-daily-rank of this date? (Give the project names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | what will be the projects ranked from 7 to 9 on OpenGithubs' github-daily-rank of this date? (Give the project names only) |
68774e69336fa8003b890146 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, which works will be ranked from 16 to 18 on the latest weekly tipping chart for audio dramas (广播剧打赏榜周榜) on Maoer (猫耳) FM (MissEvan)? (Give the work names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | which works will be ranked from 16 to 18 on the latest weekly tipping chart for audio dramas (广播剧打赏榜周榜) on Maoer (猫耳) FM (MissEvan)? (Give the work names only) |
687df3a41d972f003b8ba68c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-11, what will the close of CanSino (SH:688185) be for the day (in CNY)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a... | 2026-08-11 | 4 | what will the close of CanSino (SH:688185) be for the day (in CNY)? |
685171b65b1af900600a3306 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-11, what will be the stock market capitalization (市价总值) of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in ten thousand yuan (two decimal places)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with t... | 2026-08-11 | 4 | what will be the stock market capitalization (市价总值) of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in ten thousand yuan (two decimal places)? |
6851743b59f71f006037a1f1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-07, what will be the average price (in yuan per kilogram) of pork at the national agricultural product wholesale market monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of China?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | what will be the average price (in yuan per kilogram) of pork at the national agricultural product wholesale market monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of China? |
6851738859f71f006037a1e5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-06, what will be the open for the CSI 300 Index for the day?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | what will be the open for the CSI 300 Index for the day? |
68774ddd3083b1003c629ca8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-11, what will the value (in hundreds of millions of yuan, two decimal places) of Daily Sell Trades (当日卖出成交金额) of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect's Southbound Trading (港股通) be?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this e... | 2026-08-11 | 4 | what will the value (in hundreds of millions of yuan, two decimal places) of Daily Sell Trades (当日卖出成交金额) of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect's Southbound Trading (港股通) be? |
6944fde51834a500697575da | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-11, which movies will be ranked from 4 to 6 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PRED... | 2026-08-11 | 4 | which movies will be ranked from 4 to 6 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only) |
6945061ed2f0e700661f17a1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-11, what songs will be ranked from 2 to 4 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not us... | 2026-08-11 | 4 | what songs will be ranked from 2 to 4 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only) |
906379b0bf1332f31b37daa6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win TEKKEN 8 at the 2026 Esports World Cup? (resolved around 2026-08-09 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Open answer: the winning player's official competition name."
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
... | 2026-08-09 | 4 | Who will win TEKKEN 8 at the 2026 Esports World Cup? |
c007e273c75066046cebc2f6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "The Walt Disney Company fiscal Q3 2026 Entertainment segment revenue (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $12.0 billion
B. the outcome be $12.0 billion to less than $13.0 billion
C. the outcome be $13.0 billion to ... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | The Walt Disney Company fiscal Q3 2026 Entertainment segment revenue |
d3adb1c57e85a00e2c769e96 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Warner Bros. Discovery Q2 2026 total revenue (resolved around 2026-08-06 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $9.5 billion
B. the outcome be $9.5 billion to less than $10.5 billion
C. the outcome be $10.5 billion to less than $11.5 billion
D.... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | Warner Bros. Discovery Q2 2026 total revenue |
d3b0014ed543e0f559963ea5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Paramount Skydance Q2 2026 Direct-to-Consumer revenue (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $2.4 billion
B. the outcome be $2.4 billion to less than $2.7 billion
C. the outcome be $2.7 billion to less than $3.0 bill... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Paramount Skydance Q2 2026 Direct-to-Consumer revenue |
051cde3dab31d660de5829e2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Lionsgate fiscal Q1 2027 total revenue (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $0.7 billion
B. the outcome be $0.7 billion to less than $0.9 billion
C. the outcome be $0.9 billion to less than $1.1 billion
D. the out... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | Lionsgate fiscal Q1 2027 total revenue |
c10073e43bd2e17a3631ceb2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Ice Cream Man (2026) domestic three-day opening-weekend box office gross (resolved around 2026-08-11 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $3.0 million
B. the outcome be $3.0 million to less than $6.0 million
C. the outcome be $6.0 million to ... | 2026-08-11 | 3 | Ice Cream Man (2026) domestic three-day opening-weekend box office gross |
20483bf0fea9e55807740f12 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "EIA weekly natural-gas storage report: total Lower 48 working gas in storage for the week ending July 31, 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-06 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 3,050 Bcf
B. the outcome be 3,050 Bcf to less than 3,100 Bcf
C. th... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | EIA weekly natural-gas storage report: total Lower 48 working gas in storage for the week ending July 31, 2026 |
c7fcfb7d8992eac71769b76b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. seasonally adjusted initial unemployment-insurance claims for the week ending August 1, 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-06 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 200,000
B. the outcome be 200,000 to 219,999
C. the outcome be 220,000 to 239,9... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | U.S. seasonally adjusted initial unemployment-insurance claims for the week ending August 1, 2026 |
ddcf21d47c02d38fe395636a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Euro area June 2026 retail-trade volume: seasonally adjusted month-over-month change (resolved around 2026-08-06 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below -0.5%
B. the outcome be -0.5% to less than 0.0%
C. the outcome be 0.0% to less than 0.5%
D. ... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | Euro area June 2026 retail-trade volume: seasonally adjusted month-over-month change |
80c4f4493f0ec1167168a0dd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-05, UK official international reserves at end-July 2026 (USD billions)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a ... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | UK official international reserves at end-July 2026 (USD billions) |
e938df2688bc9c7c73fe33dc | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-07, Warner Music Group fiscal Q3 2026 total revenue (USD billions)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a pred... | 2026-08-07 | 3 | Warner Music Group fiscal Q3 2026 total revenue (USD billions) |
4b740a9f9cc104b89596583c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Bank of Japan July 2026 banking data: year-over-year change in loans and discounts at major and regional banks (resolved around 2026-08-10 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 2.0%
B. the outcome be 2.0% to less than 3.0%
C. the outcome be 3.... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | Bank of Japan July 2026 banking data: year-over-year change in loans and discounts at major and regional banks |
b5dbd9e2098ff9618800ba7e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "CPC's 10 August 2026 8–14 day outlook: temperature category forecast for Arizona (resolved around 2026-08-11 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Above normal
B. the outcome be Near normal
C. the outcome be Below normal"
IMPORTANT: Your fin... | 2026-08-11 | 4 | CPC's 10 August 2026 8–14 day outlook: temperature category forecast for Arizona |
80f395c8491a610e7a03a0ec | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. Spacewalk 96: official EVA duration (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Less than 5 hours 30 minutes
B. the outcome be 5 hours 30 minutes to 6 hours 29 minutes
C. the outcome be 6 hours 30 minutes to 7 hours 29 min... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | U.S. Spacewalk 96: official EVA duration |
1d8a59d471f1245fb592c1a0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "H3 Flight 9 / Michibiki 7: mission outcome by the end of the scheduled launch window (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be H3 launches and successfully separates Michibiki 7
B. the outcome be H3 lifts off but Michibiki 7 i... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | H3 Flight 9 / Michibiki 7: mission outcome by the end of the scheduled launch window |
8a8cf49d82891079fa9048c8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-11, Rocket Lab Q2 2026 revenue (USD millions, rounded to one decimal place)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to ma... | 2026-08-11 | 4 | Rocket Lab Q2 2026 revenue (USD millions, rounded to one decimal place) |
d57232499df6b95c6ea5647b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-07, Cloudflare Q2 2026 revenue (USD millions, rounded to one decimal place)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to ma... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | Cloudflare Q2 2026 revenue (USD millions, rounded to one decimal place) |
9c54c8f0c3907da86ed1fb8f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which candidate will receive the most votes in Michigan's 2026 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate? (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Abdul El-Sayed
B. the outcome be Mallory McMorrow
C. the outcome be Haley Stevens"
... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Which candidate will receive the most votes in Michigan's 2026 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate? |
38a0506e5bfd898b1c78f661 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which ticket will receive the most votes in Kansas's 2026 Republican primary for governor and lieutenant governor? (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Ty Masterson / Jeffrey Klemp
B. the outcome be Charlotte O'Hara / Mic... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Which ticket will receive the most votes in Kansas's 2026 Republican primary for governor and lieutenant governor? |
6ebe6ed86269a5a1b1b70465 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 WTA National Bank Open (Toronto) — number of top-16 seeds to reach the women’s singles round of 16 (resolved around 2026-08-08 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0–6
B. the outcome be 7–10
C. the outcome be 11–13
D. the outcome be 14–16"
... | 2026-08-08 | 4 | 2026 WTA National Bank Open (Toronto) — number of top-16 seeds to reach the women’s singles round of 16 |
b9a3bc352664ca110b7e6d95 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, Who will win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say ... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | Who will win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? |
efb76e26ac7d139fc38dd837 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, Who will win the 2026 MotoGP British Grand Prix?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | Who will win the 2026 MotoGP British Grand Prix? |
122e20b808a03804b1e695e3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Houston Astros at San Diego Padres on 9 August 2026 — combined final runs (resolved around 2026-08-10 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0–5 runs
B. the outcome be 6–8 runs
C. the outcome be 9–11 runs
D. the outcome be 12 or more runs"
I... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | Houston Astros at San Diego Padres on 9 August 2026 — combined final runs |
8b9bc66d2db1878f9b9cbe35 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 Leagues Cup — Inter Miami CF vs. CF Monterrey: regulation-time winning margin (resolved around 2026-08-09 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Inter Miami CF win by 1–2 goals in regulation time
B. the outcome be Inter Miami CF win by 3 or more ... | 2026-08-09 | 4 | 2026 Leagues Cup — Inter Miami CF vs. CF Monterrey: regulation-time winning margin |
c0786ca4e5d6154617522a7e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty on 9 August 2026 — final winning margin (resolved around 2026-08-10 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Las Vegas Aces win by 1–5 points
B. the outcome be Las Vegas Aces win by 6–12 points
C. the outcome be Las V... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty on 9 August 2026 — final winning margin |
fb81872e7d16446e1f064fe7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "AMD Q2 fiscal 2026 total revenue (USD billions) (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $10.90 billion
B. the outcome be $10.90 billion to less than $11.20 billion
C. the outcome be $11.20 billion to less than $11.50 ... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | AMD Q2 fiscal 2026 total revenue (USD billions) |
4a9ccf805540335b4431a645 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Pinterest Q2 2026 global monthly active users (millions) (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 610 million
B. the outcome be 610 million to less than 625 million
C. the outcome be 625 million to less than 640 millio... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Pinterest Q2 2026 global monthly active users (millions) |
4ab606237b45c1f135c511ca | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "AppLovin Q2 2026 total revenue (USD billions) (resolved around 2026-08-06 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $1.915 billion
B. the outcome be $1.915 billion to less than $1.945 billion
C. the outcome be $1.945 billion to less than $1.975 bi... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | AppLovin Q2 2026 total revenue (USD billions) |
fb52c8b4401bfaa172a7b777 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "The Trade Desk Q2 2026 revenue (USD millions) (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $750 million
B. the outcome be $750 million to less than $775 million
C. the outcome be $775 million to less than $800 million
D. ... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | The Trade Desk Q2 2026 revenue (USD millions) |
8d098d9242621372cb48baa6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "TSMC July 2026 consolidated net revenue (NT$ billions) (resolved around 2026-08-10 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below NT$400.0 billion
B. the outcome be NT$400.0 billion to less than NT$450.0 billion
C. the outcome be NT$450.0 billion to le... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | TSMC July 2026 consolidated net revenue (NT$ billions) |
6d69ca0dd2c5e39073fc3921 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-07, Airbnb Q2 2026 revenue (USD billions, rounded to two decimal places)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make ... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | Airbnb Q2 2026 revenue (USD billions, rounded to two decimal places) |
62da4fc6689459ab8f131989 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. commercial crude-oil inventories excluding the SPR for the week ending July 31, 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 400.0 million barrels
B. the outcome be 400.0 to 409.9 million barrels
C. the outcome b... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | U.S. commercial crude-oil inventories excluding the SPR for the week ending July 31, 2026 |
ee54afd9171b0913fcf547af | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. Q2 2026 preliminary nonfarm-business labor-productivity growth (annualized quarter-over-quarter) (resolved around 2026-08-06 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below -1.0%
B. the outcome be -1.0% to 0.9%
C. the outcome be 1.0% to 2.9%
D. th... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | U.S. Q2 2026 preliminary nonfarm-business labor-productivity growth (annualized quarter-over-quarter) |
85f7b487c89eab2e2776b047 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Novo Nordisk H1 2026 obesity-care sales (DKK billions, rounded to one decimal place) (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below DKK 70.0 billion
B. the outcome be DKK 70.0 billion to less than DKK 80.0 billion
C. the out... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Novo Nordisk H1 2026 obesity-care sales (DKK billions, rounded to one decimal place) |
d23d1220af1dd4da5ba4f968 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, Who will win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Iowa Corn 350 Powered by Ethanol?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to ... | 2026-08-10 | 3 | Who will win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Iowa Corn 350 Powered by Ethanol? |
216e0460206e3f90b3a60f79 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Uber Q2 2026 Gross Bookings (USD billions) (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $55.50 billion
B. the outcome be $55.50 billion to less than $56.75 billion
C. the outcome be $56.75 billion to less than $58.00 billi... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Uber Q2 2026 Gross Bookings (USD billions) |
591b247e031c6845fd55db8a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-09, 2026 World Athletics U20 Championships — mixed 4x100m relay gold-medal nation"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse... | 2026-08-09 | 4 | 2026 World Athletics U20 Championships — mixed 4x100m relay gold-medal nation |
353f6e6e372e38873955dea7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which candidate will receive the most votes in Tennessee's 2026 Republican primary for governor? (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Marsha Blackburn
B. the outcome be Monty Fritts
C. the outcome be John Rose
D. the ou... | 2026-08-07 | 3 | Which candidate will receive the most votes in Tennessee's 2026 Republican primary for governor? |
48f5818822fe080b734ecdcd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What percentage of the contiguous United States will the U.S. Drought Monitor classify as being in drought (D1–D4) on the map released 6 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-06 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Less than 40.00%
B. the outcome be... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | What percentage of the contiguous United States will the U.S. Drought Monitor classify as being in drought (D1–D4) on the map released 6 August 2026? |
4a45bf76753e4e33eb55095c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-06, 2026-08-05, what Marketplace GOV (USD billions, rounded to two decimals) will DoorDash report for Q2 2026?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use an... | 2026-08-06 | 3 | 2026-08-05, what Marketplace GOV (USD billions, rounded to two decimals) will DoorDash report for Q2 2026? |
e8dd44e765f6143e0a04adb3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-06, 2026-08-06, what revenue (USD millions, rounded to one decimal place) will Datadog report for Q2 fiscal 2026?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use... | 2026-08-06 | 3 | 2026-08-06, what revenue (USD millions, rounded to one decimal place) will Datadog report for Q2 fiscal 2026? |
12dcbafdc1ef1329cd9b3fcf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 Pro Football Hall of Fame Game — Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals: winning margin (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Carolina Panthers win by 1–3 points
B. the outcome be Carolina Panthers win by 4–10 points
... | 2026-08-07 | 3 | 2026 Pro Football Hall of Fame Game — Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals: winning margin |
06d11561079988fee7fb8d47 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-10, Which club will win Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 at the 2026 Esports World Cup?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse ... | 2026-08-10 | 4 | Which club will win Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 at the 2026 Esports World Cup? |
3d784c1469888f7e112ae4ec | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "South Korea's official foreign-exchange reserves at end-July 2026 (USD billions) (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below US$425.0 billion
B. the outcome be US$425.0 billion to less than US$430.0 billion
C. the outcome... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | South Korea's official foreign-exchange reserves at end-July 2026 (USD billions) |
546374a6f1b40a4b1b2ba015 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Indonesia Q2 2026 real GDP growth (year-on-year) (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 5.0%
B. the outcome be 5.0% to less than 5.5%
C. the outcome be 5.5% to less than 6.0%
D. the outcome be 6.0% or higher"
... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Indonesia Q2 2026 real GDP growth (year-on-year) |
5af20b24f8ef261e4363cfc2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Reserve Bank of India August 2026 MPC decision: policy repo rate (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 5.25%
B. the outcome be 5.50%
C. the outcome be 5.75%
D. the outcome be Another rate"
IMPORTANT: Your final a... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Reserve Bank of India August 2026 MPC decision: policy repo rate |
4350a0069b9d90fcddeb57bf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Choice Hotels Q2 2026 total revenues (USD millions) (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $400 million
B. the outcome be $400 million to less than $450 million
C. the outcome be $450 million to less than $500 millio... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Choice Hotels Q2 2026 total revenues (USD millions) |
9797ef8ebde6831c8ad3eab8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "July 2026 U.S. ISM Services PMI (resolved around 2026-08-05 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 48.0
B. the outcome be 48.0 to less than 52.0
C. the outcome be 52.0 to less than 56.0
D. the outcome be 56.0 or higher"
IMPORTANT: Your... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | July 2026 U.S. ISM Services PMI |
8b59a50a64463cf3745c6f72 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Vistra Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA (USD billions) (resolved around 2026-08-07 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below $1.20 billion
B. the outcome be $1.20 billion to less than $1.50 billion
C. the outcome be $1.50 billion to less than $1.80 billion... | 2026-08-07 | 4 | Vistra Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA (USD billions) |
1c0a55fec102dbd3fdca41e2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "USDA Crop Progress: U.S. corn rated good or excellent in the report released 10 August 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-11 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below 55%
B. the outcome be 55% to less than 60%
C. the outcome be 60% to less than 65%
D. ... | 2026-08-11 | 3 | USDA Crop Progress: U.S. corn rated good or excellent in the report released 10 August 2026 |
785d116e48dcf9baf24f7ce0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "UKHSA syndromic surveillance: national GP in-hours heat-or-sunstroke activity level for the week ending 1 August 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-06 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Above baseline
B. the outcome be Similar to baseline
C. the outco... | 2026-08-06 | 3 | UKHSA syndromic surveillance: national GP in-hours heat-or-sunstroke activity level for the week ending 1 August 2026 |
d1c17a1aa8a284ffff0989d4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-05, Eli Lilly Q2 2026 total revenue (USD billions, rounded to one decimal place)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse ... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Eli Lilly Q2 2026 total revenue (USD billions, rounded to one decimal place) |
eaa7f5c20b454cbb299f7572 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-08, LCK 2026 Rounds 3–4 — T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports: exact best-of-three series score"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not re... | 2026-08-08 | 4 | LCK 2026 Rounds 3–4 — T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports: exact best-of-three series score |
056ee2bfc41e5f656af411b0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-05, Shopify Q2 2026 gross merchandise volume (USD billions, rounded to one decimal place)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do no... | 2026-08-05 | 4 | Shopify Q2 2026 gross merchandise volume (USD billions, rounded to one decimal place) |
6aef9627e25e16d51dfe535b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-06, Unity Q2 2026 revenue (USD millions, rounded to one decimal place)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a ... | 2026-08-06 | 4 | Unity Q2 2026 revenue (USD millions, rounded to one decimal place) |
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