text:
Dental implant therapy is the optimal solution for someone missing one or more teeth and who meets the criteria needed to be an implant patient. Speak with our dental professional to find out if you can benefit from dental implant treatment.
With dental implants, you can help prevent the bone from further atrophy and eliminate the need to compromise healthy adjacent teeth. Because the implant takes the place of missing tooth root, it helps to maintain the jaw bone and provide optimal support for replacement crown.
the ability to speak clearly and chew properly can be impacted when several teeth are missing. In contrast to a conventional bridge, implants replace the root of missing natural teeth, which helps to stimulate and maintain the jaw bone and provide a strong support for the replacement crowns or bridge without the need to compromise other healthy teeth.
With dental implants, you can eliminate the embarrassment and pain of ill-fitting dentures. As artificial tooth roots, implants help to maintain the jawbone and provide a strong foundation for an implant-support prosthesis that will stay securely fixed in place without the need for messy adhesives. The esthetic and functional solution will allow you to eat, speak and smile with confidence again.


text:
The pork industry will hold its annual business meeting, the National Pork Industry Forum, February 28-March 2. At the meeting, Pork Act Delegates from all 50 states will vote to elect candidates for the board of directors for National Pork Board and vote to make changes to the checkoff rate and bylaws as well as instruct the activities of the NPB. If you are interested and meet the following requirements, please contact me by August 12 at apedemonti@pork.org or 603-504-2679!
1) I am a producer, or an authorized representative of a corporate producer, who produces porcine animals in the U.S. for sale in commerce and is subject to assessment; 2) that I have sold swine and paid checkoff in the time period since the last delegate election process in MA, ME, NH, VT, RI, or CT; 3) that I am a resident of the respective state; 4) that I have paid all assessments due; and 5) I am 18 years of age or older.
Pork Quality Assurance® (PQA) Plus, Transport Quality Assurance® (TQA), and Youth Pork Quality Assurance® (Youth PQA) Plus are the programs that collectively make up the pork quality assurance certification programs of the National Pork Board. These programs are available to pork producers, youth, and handlers throughout the New England states at no cost. For more information, contact us at apedemonti@pork.org or 603-504-2679.
The overarching purpose of the Northeast Pork Association (NEPA) is to provide producers in the northeast access to meaningful Pork Checkoff resources to help promote, support, and grow the pork industry. NEPA will provide easier access to National Pork Board professional staff, producer education opportunities in areas such as swine health, production, and nutrition, certification programs such as PQA Plus® , and increased engagement and input in Checkoff programming. The structure of NEPA includes a part-time executive director to represent you and your interests both locally and nationally. That being said, we want to hear from you! What services do you, as a pork producer, need? What educational events can we organize for you? We want your input to help shape our program of activities in the future!
Spices are a great way to add bold flavor without adding fat. Serve with Okra Corn Salad and Baked Grits Wedges.

industry_corpus2: Agriculture & Fisheries


text:
Luxuriously decorated Rooms with Channel Music and Satellite C.T.V.
We Serve delicious North Indian, South Indian, Continental, Italian, Chinese... Vegetarian delicacies and specialise in Gujrati cuisine.
All amenities & services including In-room modern amenities, Doctor on call, Laundry Rooom Service & House keeping, The Hotel is well equipped with all latest amenities like Swimming Pool, Sports, Conference, Garden.

industry_corpus2: Hospitality & Catering


text:
I’ve a book for children in Japanese. It contains chapters each about some biographical figure. One is on Vincent Van Gogh. So I’m reading it.
If I do so slowly, painstakingly, it’s not much use. I understand nothing, because my brain doesn’t see the patterns at that speed.
However, if I skip along quickly, then I make more sense of it. I obtain 20, 40 or 60 percent of the information depending on my level.
Since I move quickly, I cover more ground. The exercise is more useful and productive. You just have to let go and trust the net.

industry_corpus2: Subject Education


text: A rear-wheel drive sedan from Australia, the Pontiac G8 was a rebadged Holden Commodore. GM brought it over to the U.S. in 2008 as the G8 and it sold for the 2009 model year only. The G8 was a full-sized sedan, but it was also supposed to come out in a two-door coupe and a wagon model. The demise of the Pontiac division, however, put a quick halt to the production of the G8. Not many were made, but you can search for these short-lived Pontiac G8 sedans by going through our classified ads here at FossilCars. We have more extensive listings than anywhere else.

industry_corpus2: Automobiles


text:
RTsoft Forums > Official Robinson Technologies Forums > RTsoft Tavern > QOTD: How was your school year?
View Full Version : QOTD: How was your school year?
Another school year has ended. Preparing for new classmates, teachers and much more surprises.
But for now, let's talk about the past. How was your school year? Was there an embarrassing moment you want to talk about? Reply in the comments below, maybe I can help!
MY summer vacation starts in the end of june (around 2 1/2 months from now). But currently it's going okay, I've always been your average C - B student nothings changed and I can't wait for summer.
Haha, all of us are excited for the summer. But mine's starting.
Yeah, the last quarter of the school year started a couple weeks ago for me.
I'd say it's no big deal.
My mom basically yelled at me to participate in the orchestra concerts to raise my grades and help out but since she never goes because she has to go to work and I don't like being forced to do something, I lost interest in orchestra.
That one kid that tells me to be more confident and talk more finally stopped telling me everyday.
I made a couple new friends, which is a big achievement to a shy introvert like me.
Those kids that kept yelling at me to kick the soccer ball in P.E and caused my depression stopped bossing me around but one of them is in my class again.
I was surpised that some of you just started school. Oh well..
Well I mean i start my 3rd school this year on friday. I miss the 1st school greatly. So, it hasn't gone too well. But I also have another approximately 9 weeks of school left.
Just got a 3rd Honorable Mention award and got medals. And also got a new laptop.
Not bad, but my bestie has been absent for a week at school. Looking forward to see her come back. ._.
Happy and Depressing at the same time.
And it ended last week so I'm happy.
My summer vacation doesn't start for a few months.
Haha, bestfriends will never separate. And glad to hear that school will end in a month! Hold on there.
Why depressing? Haha, glad to hear you are happy and school's over.
Woah, there. Time passes by in a snap! The next thing you saw it, it's vacation time already!
Oh boy, that's tough! Good luck! Here's a tip, think of your inspiration (Family, friends, *Girlfriend*) it will help you motivate on your exam.
I'm already dying from term 1. and my mid years are in 3weeks time.
people are out of school already?
my vacation starts somewhere in the early June.
My summer vacation is coming soon but its going pretty good I guess Let's get excited bros its end of the semester!
Just believe it yourself, I know you can do it!
Haha, here in the Philippines it is. Time to chill and go out of town!
Well, I was eating when someone told a really funny joke. I laughed and you can imagine what happened next with all the food in my mouth.
It's slowly going downhill lol. Maintaining an 85%+ in everything, but I'm starting to become lazy this semester, and it's only like halfway done. Still a few more months until summer /cry.
I guess that kkd is only helping you. But atleast you have new friends, new people to talk to!
I think you should start a new leaf next school year. Talk to him/her, he/she might be your friend.... Or even better BESTFRIEND!
Hold on there! Anyways, laziness will not help you in your life, laziness will block the right path to your success. If you want to be successful, you better give these few months your best shot!
lol same, I get C to B and never got an A.
Third Term has started and hopefully I'm not screwing up or slacking off.


text:
“I thought we were always 20 runs short till the end. But to reach whatever we did was pretty okay. It was a decent total on the board. I thought we could have bowled a little better and we should have planned a little better. We did not bowl bad but required little more planning,” said Pandey at the post match press conference.
Pandey insisted that the Indian batsmen did not take the Australian spinners for granted.
“We would never take anything for granted. I thought in our first match against them, they made 300 plus and they played very well and used their feet well. In the finals, if they play in similar fashion we have plans against them,” he said.
Talking about his goal, Pandey said he would like to be a part of national team’s playing XI more.
“One of my dreams came true this year when I was selected for the Zimbabwe tour. It was a good start for me. The debut game went pretty good for me. There has to be a start somewhere which I actually got. It is high time that I keep performing from here on. I would like to keep performing and be there for longer period of time. That is going to be my goal,” said Pandey.

industry_corpus2: Sports


text:
A system of classification of registered females based upon type and individuality, TOP Classification recognises that progress towards the improvement of the Ayrshire breed should be obtained through animals superior in conformation as well as production.
A,B,C,D plus the Udder Overall and Dairy Conformation scores separated by a dash.
E (Excellent), V (very highly commended), H (highly commended) and F (Fair) plus the Udder Overall and Dairy Conformation scores separated by a dash. Cows may only receive an Excellent Award after they have reached five years of age.
Members are encouraged to submit all 2 year old cows (both pedigree and grade), along with any older animals they wish to have re-classified. In particular, the two year old data plays a large role in calculating sire proofs and the information is invaluable in that respect.
In addition, there will be a minimum charge per herd of $65.22 regardless of cow numbers (minimum charge includes herd fee plus cow fees).


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Dr. Bob Carter of UCSD scrubs in for a potentially life-saving brain surgery, for which higher volume of procedures leads to better outcomes. Sept. 7, 2016. Megan Wood, inewsource.
Getting diagnosed with cancer is scary enough. But if surgery is involved, with all its potential complications, any patient wants to find the best hospital.
Unfortunately, there’s no certain way to tell. But CalQualityCare.org, operated by the California Health Care Foundation, can give a strong clue. Most experts agree that for specific procedures such as lung, pancreas, esophageal or rectal cancer surgeries, higher volume hospitals have better outcomes and lower mortality.
The Oakland-based nonprofit used a state database to see each hospital’s volume for 11 cancer surgery types. It found that in 2014, an alarming number of San Diego County hospitals did far fewer specific cancer surgeries than what is recommended.
Those hospitals “should go out of business” for that cancer surgery type, and refer those patients to a higher volume hospital, he said.
Looking at hospitals in San Diego County, Spurlock noticed too many hospitals are only doing five or six a year.
For example, the database shows that five of the nine hospitals performing pancreas surgery in San Diego County did only one or two that year. Three of the six hospitals that perform esophagus cancer surgeries did one or two. And five of the 12 hospitals performing stomach cancer surgeries did just one or two.
One hospital, Scripps Encinitas, performed just one surgery for liver, pancreas, prostate and stomach cancer in 2014. Scripps Memorial did only one bladder cancer surgery, one pancreas surgery and three prostate cancer surgeries.
The CHCF report found “that for most types of cancer surgery, there’s a high volume hospital center within 50 miles” of a patient’s residence, Spurlock said.
One group of health systems launched a “take the volume pledge” campaign last year to persuade low-volume hospitals, including some of its own 15 affiliates, to stop doing those procedures.
Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, Johns Hopkins Hospital and the University of Michigan Health System don’t want their hospitals or surgeons performing four types of cancer surgeries unless they meet certain volume thresholds. Those volumes are 20 esophagus cancer, 40 lung cancer, 20 pancreas cancer, and 15 rectal cancer surgeries a year. New York state’s Medicaid program won’t reimburse a hospital for breast cancer surgery unless it performs at least 30.
With a possible exception of colon cancer surgery, which is less sensitive to a surgeon’s volume, Birkmeyer advised that patients “definitely shouldn’t have surgery by anyone who doesn’t do them at least five or six times a year, and more is better.” And for breast cancer surgery, literature suggests a minimum of 50 procedures annually.
In San Diego County, no hospital met the “volume pledge” group’s esophagus cancer surgery threshold. Nine failed to meet lung cancer thresholds, nine failed to meet pancreas cancer thresholds and 10 failed to meet rectal cancer thresholds and two hospitals failed to meet New York’s minimum threshold for breast cancer surgery.
UCSD Health System was the only hospital system in the county that maintained high volume for all 11 cancer types, although it had lower than the recommended threshold for esophagus cancer surgery volume.
One argument hospitals make to defend low volume is that some of their surgeons might operate at multiple hospitals.
But Spurlock said it’s crucial for the whole hospital team to gain necessary experience. “The hospital staff have to be able to understand the surgery too; they have to know the instruments, the complications. It’s not just a surgeon issue,” he said.
For more on this topic, see Cheryl Clark’s story in MedPage Today, a national publication read by health care providers.

industry_corpus2: Health & Medicine


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PropertyVista is a cloud-based property management solution that helps real estate and property management firms to track functions related to their properties which include advertising rental properties, gaining new tenants, collecting rental payments and more.
PropertyVista offers users a vendor management module that includes features such as property and unit mobile inspections, a purchase ordering system, work order tracking and maintenance requests and tracking. The solution's accounting capabilities include property accounting, generating reports, creating property budgets, managing online payments and 1099e filing.
Additionally, PropertyVista offers users a lease management system for, portals for tenants and owners that help parties to communicate regarding a specific property function, renters insurance functionality, posters and welcome letters and a central repository to store related documents.
Services are offered on a monthly subscription basis after a one-time setup fee that includes support via phone, email and product videos.
We now have a connection point into our entire resident base. The myCOMMUNITY resident portal has led to a significant increase in our tenant self service, online transactions for both rent and maintenance are way up and we are experiencing dramatic improvements in overall resident satisfaction. I'm not sure how we ever operated in the past without their help. If you're looking for happier residents, these are the guys to talk to.
Some times it is hard to know how to do new things within the system. But the help desk is always there and quick to answer.
Very positive. I would change a few things but generally I have had an easy time with staff.
I enjoy the dashboard and having the info at my fingertips. I like that I can edit my staff’s access levels. Depositing is a breeze.
The messages section is confusing as there are too many options depending on where it’s come from. Adding a guarantor to a lease is far too complicated. It’s not realistic to expect one off the bat. Wish we didn’t get logged out so quickly.
I love that I can do application and payments easily here. When something’s needed of someone it’s easy to communicate what I need to them in one spot.
I would like to see an app for our iPhones that is easy to go in and out of without constant sign in and phone twister.
I would like to be able to do my own blasts to my properties without having to go to someone at the office level.
It is easy to use, it makes my work easier especially in doing bank reconciliation. Easy to search for specific data that I need.The notifications are very useful. It makes the collection of rent easy for both the tenant and landlord.
The tenant/management communication module helps a lot in day to day operations. It has definitely changed the way of interaction and making processes easier.
The glitches that sometime puts a hold to different items can be annoying. However they are rectified in a timely manner.
Tracy from Wilstar Management Ltd.
Property Vista, has a great platform that is very user friendly for all users of my company.
Property Vista's platform has allowed our operation processes to be more efficient with quality assurance, leasing and communication with our renters.
I currently have no cons at this time with the Property Vista software.
Nancy from Wilstar Management Ltd.
This makes the collection of rent easy for both the tenant and the landlord. This saves a lot of time on both ends and is easy to use.
It ties everything together. We'd be lost without Property Vista. Use it every day, all day long.
Well featured but a bit hard to use.
Property Vista is a good company. They have a great product generally.
Property Vista does a lot of various tasks.
The software is not intuitively easy for the prospects to use if they have english as a 2nd language.

industry_corpus2: Real Estate & Construction


text:
According to the star’s rep, Nicole and her family are in shock by the sudden death of her father. She appreciates the outpouring of support and kindly requests privacy during this very difficult time. Thank you, added the rep.
Nicole Kidman is mourning the death of her father. Nicole’s father, Tony Kidman, a clinical psychologist at the University of Technology, Sydney, Australia, died while paying a visit over the superstar’s sister, Antonia Marran, who lives on Singapore with her husband, and six children. “The police are still investigating his unnatural death”, a spokesperson said. According to the source, the term referred to as “unnatural death” refers to other accidents. Nicole’s rep confirmed that Tony fell in a hotel room but shared to other details. The family is now on a state of shock and is grieving for the unexpected loss, the rep added that privacy is needed to deal with the shock and tragedy.
The authorities said they were informed that a man in his 80s had died at a hospital.
Tony also was a clinical psychologist at Royal North Shore Hospital. In ‘05, he was awarded an Order of Australia for his contributions to clinical psychology. The father also was an author of few publications relating to depression and anxiety.

industry_corpus2: Film & Entertainment


text:
This website is owned by The Bridge Educational Trust. The Bridge Educational Trust owns the copyright in all of the information and documentation contained on this website and therefore these terms and conditions have been set by The Bridge Educational Trust.
Your use of this website is subject to the terms and conditions that follow. Please read them carefully. By proceeding to browse and use this website you are deemed to have agreed to comply with and be bound by these terms and conditions, which together with our Privacy and Cookies Statement set out below govern The Bridge Educational Trust relationship with you with regards to your use of this website. If you do not agree with any of these terms and conditions please leave this website immediately.
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text:
It was just two months ago when WordPress 3.6 was released, and we already have WordPress 3.7 almost ready to go. It is scheduled to be released on October 14th, 2013. There are some important changes coming your way. WordPress 3.7 will be mainly focused on security and stability of the WordPress core. Let’s take a look at what new features are coming in WordPress 3.7.
One of the most anticipated features of WordPress 3.7 is automatic updates. Managed WordPress hosting providers already do automatic WordPress updates for their users when a new update is available.
Now WordPress will be able to do this on its own. A typical WordPress installation will be able to automatically update minor/security releases by without any user input. This means that a user does not need to update WordPress from 3.7 to 3.7.1. However, automatic updates will not be done for major releases by default, for example 3.7.1 to 3.8.
When we asked audience opinion on this using our twitter and facebook pages, we had a mixed response from users. Some really liked it and others absolutely hated it. This is why there will be an option to turn off automatic updates from the wp-config.php file. There will also be an option to completely automate the process and even auto-update WordPress to major releases by adding a define parameter in wp-config.php.
WordPress 3.7 will also come with better support for language packs. The current goal set for WordPress 3.7 is to separately maintain language files for default themes, importer plugins, and the WordPress core. For users, this means that if you are using WordPress in your language, then with each update WordPress will automatically fetch the language files for default themes, importer plugins, and the core.
Currently users need to find a translation ready WordPress theme and install language files. Hopefully, this feature will extend to other themes and plugins, so users will not have to worry about downloading and uploading translation files for each plugin they use.
Strong password are important for WordPress security. This is why WordPress comes with a password strength meter, but it is very weak. This is why in WordPress 3.7, the core team decided to add a new password meter that will encourage users to choose stronger passwords.
This will be a great addition with the force strong passwords plugin that admins can use to force users to use strong passwords.
Let’s face it, the default WordPress search is not the best. This is why many users rely on other solutions like SearchWP or even Google custom search for their sites.
Thankfully, with WordPress 3.7 the default search will get a little better. WordPress will now display search results by relevancy rather than in a reverse chronological order. It will consider a result more relevant if the keyword matches in title as well as content.
As an open source software WordPress is free and the source code is available for anyone to use, modify, study and build upon. All WordPress code was already documented, but there are many new hooks available.
The core team decided to streamline the inline documentation for all the hooks in the core. This will make it easier for new developers to study the code, learn, and practice. It will also help experienced developers to write better code for their own WordPress applications.
WordPress 3.7 is currently in Beta, and there is very little chance that any new features will be added to it. However it is still possible that the final release can be different. If you want to try the beta version, then you can do so by installing WordPress on local server environment and run the beta tester plugin.
Which feature are you looking forward to the most? Let us know what you like or dislike about WordPress 3.7 by leaving a comment below.
Change your picture “new password meter” arrow directions. WordPress 3.7 should be very weak, not WP 3.6.
@Kris Thank you for pointing this out. We have updated the screenshot.
I have been updating it with one click, most plug-ins and themes never needed any attention for update so i dont think its a bad feature.
better would have been an API which should have allowed the plug-ins and themes too receive auto update from their new releases.
One thing would have been appreciated and that is a feature like Windows system restore or Apple time machine where a restore point should be created and saved for user to revert back the changes with single click, if things are broken by chance.
I believe we need a sandbox for plugins before activation. It would be great if I can test the plugin before I activate it, especially if this plugin would conflict with other plugin or code.
Performance meter to monitor every code or plugin you add, that would be great to measure the impact on performance after installing specific plugin and how can this be related to server performance as well.
Maybe because I’m new to wordpress, but I found it very hard to find the right theme. I recommend a wizard like method, ask the user few question about their website needs and popups the most related themes for the requirements.
Finally, a setup wizard once you install wordpress would be lovely to new users once they login for the first time, especially if starts with tutorials to educate users about security and to pick the most proper settings. I think we need something similar to what Servers usually have: Roles! is a perfect word for that. WordPress can do a lot of things, it would be great to setup wordpress based on Roles, Roles might have suggestion for specific themes and plugins!
I’m so happy with WordPress and especially WPbeginner site , I wish you Happy Eid and very Blessed Future.
I think the minor auto update is a fantastic feature. I’m looking forward to all these features actually. Great news, thanks!
WordPress bloggers, with good intention, tend to tell us to always update, “asap dammit!”, upon a core update being available. That can be bad advice leading to broken sites, as we casually hack ourselves, effectively, due to incompatibilities from unkempt plugins, old themes and the like.
… but beware, everyone else, of the potential for a broken site when opting for this feature.
Regarding that latter point, for example, if WordPress has a snazzy new feature update, we could opt not to auto-update as those updates tend to be most likely to break a site. But if the update is security-related then, hey, maybe we’d want that to auto-update although, again, perhaps with a delay option.
This all brings me back to one of my pet hopes: that Automattic separates out security fixes from any other updates, again to reduce (greatly) the number of post-updated, broken sites.
Verdict: if in doubt, be old-fashioned, don’t use this (nonetheless important) feature. Instead always explore each and every WordPress update and, ideally, test it on your cloned development site before deploying it on your production site.
We disagree with the argument as the main point of the argument is that people hack into their core files and an update could result into broken sites.
First of all users should never hack into the core WordPress files, or core files of any plugins. If they are making changes to a plugin they should rename that plugin so that updates don’t affect it. Same goes for themes, you should always use a child theme to make changes or rename the theme so that it does not get updates for the original theme. As for WordPress core files, there is no reason to hack into them. If you want to make changes into core files you can try to submit them as patches, report bugs, or try to implement your changes in a plugin without touching the core files.
On the other hand auto-updates can be disabled and users can choose to manually update their WordPress sites. This way they can have the time to get their changes saved as a back up and safely update to a new version.
Auto updates add the potential to break sites. Period.
Yes. Good idea. For sites that matter … way to go!
In 3.7 auto updates will only be open for minor releases. There is no default auto update option for themes and plugins. We think its quite safe and the core team seems to be quite confident about it.
The new features are good and waiting to see the new changes but i too think there should be some facility provided by wordpress for backup and restore without making any use of plugin for this process. Also automatic updates are fine until it doesn’t mess up the theme on the live site.
Happy to hear about this!
They will probably give you the ability to bypass auto updates.
Anything that improves the default search, good to see this is getting some attention, good work allround.
Do you know the date of the release yet?
Last we heard it was 14 October.
Having a secure website won’t matter when an auto update crashes it.
I wished for this feature exist some time ago… now i’m glad to know that I can focus on other task instead of go and update all the sites when there are new releases.
WordPress 3.7 should have a inbuilt backup and restore functionality atleast. Automatic updates is good to keep the wordpress safe.
Yup, that would be useful.
I vote for the backup feature too. It is unthinkable not to have a full blown backup feature built in.
New security is good. But if I have less control over my site (auto updates), that sometimes makes me feel less secure for my site. Security is about consciousness and control (what goes in and out).
Other than that, it sounds good. I like the idea of giving more input on hooks. Hooks are what make WordPress great customizable.
I really wish they’d fix the AUDIO support from 3.6. The Audio Player lacks the ability to include title/track information and control of the size. It doesn’t play nice with images and floating DIVs.

industry_corpus2: Computing & Telecommunications


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In the 2013 election, I took some interest in the election result in Indi, a seat located in the north-east of Victoria. My interest was spurred by the chance that Sophie Mirabella, who was flagged to be the next Science Minister if the Liberal-National coalition won government, might be usurped by Cathy McGowan, an independent candidate. Also, I have some relatives in that part of the world, so I was interested to know who would be their local representative in what turned out to be a very close election.
I enjoyed trying to predict the outcome of the election in Indi, as counting continued over a matter of days. You can see an account of my efforts here. (As an aside, this is the most-read post on my blog – I have an alternative career option should I give up ecology!).
In predicting the winner of the election, there are two main unknowns that need to be determined – how the preferences are flowing to the two leading candidates, and whether the swing in votes is sufficient to usurp the sitting member.
Australia uses a preferential voting system. Voters select their preferred candidate in the seat for the House of Representatives, then their second preference, third preference, etc, until the voter has indicated their preferences for all candidates in the seat.
The initial counting of votes tallies these first preferences for each candidate. Then, the ballot papers of the candidate with the fewest votes are distributed to the other candidates based on the second preferences on those ballot papers. So if we had five candidates initially, the possible winners are narrowed down to four, and the ballot papers of the fifth candidate are then allocated to the remaining four candidates based on the second preferences.
Then, the ballot papers of the candidate with the fewest votes are distributed among the other three. This process continues until we have only two candidates remaining, at which point we have the two-candidate-preferred vote. After this point, the candidate with the most votes wins.
In trying to predict the winner of an election, a key part is predicting how the preferences will flow to the two leading candidates. The Australian Electoral Commission provides updates on first preference counts initially, and then two-candidate-preferred counts as they are completed. Because the two-candidate-preferred counts lag behind the first preference counts, it would be useful to predict preference flows. If preferences have been counted for a sample of booths, it is possible to model the flow of preferences – here is one way to do that.
We can see that in the Alexandra booth, Cathy McGowan only won 216 first preference votes, compared to Sophie Mirabella’s 715. But the 448 votes of remaining candidates flowed distinctly towards McGowan – on more than 78% of those ballot papers, McGowan was preferenced ahead of Mirabella, so she collected those preferences.
The flow of preferences was even stronger in Beechworth, where McGowan won almost 88% of the distributed preferences, but she got less than 52% of the preferences in Baddaginnie. You might notice a big difference between Beechworth and Baddaginnie in the first preferences. For example, the Greens won almost 7% of first preferences in Beechworth but less than 2% of first preferences in Baddaginnie.
We can model this flow of preferences as a function of the first preferences to predict the two-candidate-preferred vote from first preferences. Here, we are essentially aiming to predict the fraction of votes that flow from the first preferences of the other candidates to the two leading candidates.
We can build this model using linear regression, but we would like to constrain the model coefficients such that they are between zero and one; the coefficients estimate the proportion of voters whose preferenced one of the 2CP candidates ahead of the other.
Observed preference flows to Cathy McGowan versus fitted preference flows for each of the booths (and the non-ordinary votes) based on the 2013 federal election results.
These coefficients estimate that McGowan was preferenced behind Mirabella by almost all voters who put Hayes first (the estimated coefficient is zero), but she was placed ahead of Mirabella by almost everyone who put Walsh first (the estimated coefficient is 0.992).
Observed preference flows to Alexandra Bhathal (a Greens candidate) versus fitted preference flows for each of the booths in the seat of Batman (and the non-ordinary votes) based on the 2013 federal election results.
The model for Batman doesn’t work quite as well, largely because Bhathal received a greater flow of preferences from the non-ordinary votes (orange symbols in the figure) than from the ordinary votes. These non-ordinary votes are the postal votes (Bhathal received almost 1700 of the flowing preferences), absent votes (Bhathal received over 1000 of the flowing preferences), early votes (Bhathal received just under 1000 of the flowing preferences), and provisional votes (there were very few of these).
Interestingly, a similar pattern occurred in Wills, which is another inner Melbourne seat with a Greens candidate – it seems the Greens garnered strong preference flows from the non-ordinary votes in 2013. Whether that will be borne out in 2016 remains to be seen, but strong preference flows will be needed by the Greens if they are to prevail in Batman.
If you’d like to look at preference flows for yourself for different seats in the 2013 election, then you are welcome to use my R code that I wrote – it scrapes the data from the AEC website, runs the model and prints out the result.
The code is best run using the source command in R so that you are prompted to select the seat from the list of lower house seats (or you can just specify the seat number directly from within the code). And please excuse my R coding – I know it is clumsy in places, I am learning, and am yet to figure out R’s data structures properly to do vectorized operations (among other things I don’t understand).
Also, I haven’t checked that this works on all seats – there might be some anomalies that I haven’t accounted for.
formula <- "nflowed ~ a*otherfirst[, 1]"
Well, I hope you found that interesting. We’ll see what happens in the 2016 election… I might do something about swings in a second post if I have time.
Attempts to identify invasive species have usually compared their traits to those of non-invasive species. Yet invasive species are classified using all sorts of criteria. Firstly, they might be exotic species that reach high abundance when present in an area. Or they might be species that have wide geographic ranges (because the environment in which they occur is common), or have wide environmental tolerances. Or they might be species that spread rapidly. Or they might be species with various combinations of these criteria.
Are orange hawkweeds regarded as being invasive because they spread quickly, potentially reach high local abundance, have broad environmental tolerances, or because they might spread across large geographic areas? Or is it some combination of these? Attempts to identify the traits that make species “invasive” should work better by examining these biological dimensions separately.
If we just think of these four criteria, then a species might have any one of 16 possible combinations. And only one of these sets of criteria would represent a species that would categorically be “non-invasive”. So we might have (at least) 15 forms of invasiveness (24 −1 = 15). And if you add a fifth category (e.g., species having adverse impact), then we would end up with 31 possible forms of invasiveness (25 −1 = 31).
The 15 possible forms of invasive species (and the one form of non-invasives species). The size of the pie slice identifies the proportion of studies that classified invasive species by these criteria (from Catford et al., 2016).
Our paper examines the literature (112 papers) to determine how many of these forms of invasiveness have been used to classify invasive species. What do you know? All 15 forms of invasiveness appear in the literature.
This wide range of ways in which invasive species are classified will obscure efforts to identify a consistent set of traits of “invasive species”. Because traits that imbue species with broad environmental tolerances, for example, will be different from those that permit high rates of spread.
Examining traits linked with the four demographic dimensions of invasiveness (rather than “invasiveness” per se) should help highlight species at risk of becoming dominant, spreading quickly or occupying large ranges. That seems like a more fruitful way to identify invasive species because the meaning of “invasiveness” is defined more clearly.
Detecting a species from the DNA it left behind seems so much like CSI: Ecology. DNA deposited in the environment (eDNA for the cool kids), which can then be collected and identified, is increasingly advocated for ecological studies (Ficetola et al. 2008; Bohmann et al. 2014).
Adam Smart: doing a bit of sampling.
Detection rates from eDNA sampling are often much higher than more traditional survey methods, which is a potentially large advantage. For example, Adam Smart, a recently-completed MSc student in QAECO with Reid Tingley as his lead supervisor, showed that invasive newts in Melbourne were detected much more frequently in a single water sample compared to a bottle trap (Smart et al. 2015).
While eDNA sampling can have higher detection rates than more traditional methods, it can also be more expensive. How do we determine whether eDNA sampling is cost-effective? This is the question Adam set out to answer with a second paper from his MSc, which has just been posted online (Smart et al. in press).
Adam compiled various cost data for bottle trapping and eDNA surveys. These costs included materials, travel to sites, time spent at sites, generating primers for the DNA analyses, and conducting the lab-based DNA analyses. He optimised the detection efficiency of each of the two survey methods, using our method to optimise allocation of effort among visits and effort per visit (Moore et al. 2014, but also see the latest in Moore and McCarthy in press, about which I am quite excited). He then compared the performance of the two methods as a function of different total search budgets.
Probability of detection of newts at a site in Melbourne as a function of total budget for one of the scenarios examined in Smart et al. (in press). Results are shown for high cost and low cost eDNA scenarios, and for a standard bottle trapping scenario.
It turns out that for the cases we examined, eDNA sampling and the bottle sampling had similar detection efficiencies when accounting for costs. The choice of the best method depended on the cost structures, but regardless, the efficiencies were quite similar.
While the two methods were similar, the cost efficiency of eDNA sampling should improve. Firstly, eDNA costs will decline over time, while the costs of traditional sampling methods are unlikely to decrease if person hours represent the main expense. Secondly, eDNA promises to detect many species simultaneously, especially for species that might be otherwise hard to detect (Bohmann et al. 2014). Thirdly, eDNA sampling avoids some of the ethical concerns arising from the effects of trapping animals.
Of course, eDNA sampling has some drawbacks. The actual source of the DNA cannot be guaranteed. Could it have arrived on the feet of ducks? Might it have arisen from contamination? Procedures exist to reduce contamination. However, DNA evidence can be nullified in law courts, so it will not be 100% reliable in ecology. Further, physical specimens might be required, in which case eDNA will not be sufficient.
However, it seems that eDNA is only set to become more prevalent. We are continuing to work on improving and evaluating eDNA sampling via an ARC Linkage Grant – CSI: Ecology here we come!
Read Adam’s paper in Methods in Ecology and Evolution, or access the submitted version here.
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull delivering his speech that received a standing ovation from (most of) the audience. Even my hair was getting right into it.
He had just about everyone on their feet. The mood at the Prime Minister’s Prizes for Science was upbeat. We’d been treated to a stellar array of talent – science that could clearly lead to economic windfalls, science to help manage the country and its natural environment better, and outstanding teachers to help foster a more scientifically-literate community.
Malcolm Turnbull, the newly appointed Prime Minister, received a standing ovation for his speech that emphasized science as underpinning both the current and future prosperity of Australia. Standing ovations are a rare accolade from a scientific audience; rarer still when directed toward a politician, especially one from a party that had disparaged and cut funding to science so very recently.
The mood was buoyant, as we celebrated science and great scientists such as QAECO’s own Dr Jane Elith.
That was six months ago. And not everyone had stood to applaud. Some wanted more tangible proof that science really was going to be placed at the heart of Australia’s prosperity. But even as I stood, I wondered two things.
Could the Prime Minister sway his cabinet to follow his call?
And for all the talk about science and innovation, what would it mean for funding? Perhaps more importantly, what would it mean for planning and better integration of research and higher education?
Six months would be telling. In particular, what would the Turnbull government’s first budget reveal? I was prepared to wait.
For too long now, funding of universities and major research institutes such as CSIRO has been distributed without a coherent plan for research and researchers. We can’t simply turn funding on and off like a tap and see changes in research performance. The human capital employed by that funding doesn’t change that quickly. It takes months, even years, of lost productivity to shift one’s research environment. Training and establishing a research career can take a decade or more.
We can’t have a research fellowship scheme that sees 200 fellowships one year, but only 50 in another. Or a fellowship scheme that is an expendable hostage in a game of political brinkmanship. Perhaps more importantly than the number of fellowships, we need capacity within our research institutions to accommodate that talent in the longer term. There is little point investing in fellowships if those recipients have limited opportunities once their fellowships expire.
If we want people to continue on research careers, they need to be able to see pathways. The instability and lack of planning means pathways are obscure for many young researchers. At the moment, they are living on hope, on skepticism, or on disappointment.
And we’re living on a slogan. The Ideas Boom. Let me tell you – there won’t be an Ideas Boom in Australia without a properly funded plan. Up until now, the Ideas Boom was simply a $28M advertising campaign. It still is.
The Ideas Boom will happen elsewhere, and some of Australia’s most innovative scientists will move there. Why? Because the budget does very little to lay the foundation for any coherent plan for science and innovation in Australia. In fact, the budget entrenches the Abbott government’s 20% funding cut to universities without providing further capacity to increase income.
Government expenditure on research is going south. As a proportion of each country’s GDP, Australia spends less than half of the research expenditure of Iceland, Finland and Denmark. If this were an Olympic medal tally, the public would demand an inquiry – we’re being beaten by New Zealand! If we want an Ideas Boom, we’ll need more and smarter investment.
Government spending on R&D for major advanced economies. Sourced from the ABC FactCheck.
University income has been increasingly derived from sources other than the Federal government for several years now. Below are the values reported by The University of Melbourne – the majority of its funding will soon be from private sources, it seems, given further cuts to university funding. Other Australian universities are likely on a similar trend.
The University of Melbourne has increasingly sourced its income from private sources, particularly fees. With further funding cuts entrenched, that trend will continue.
The budget plugs some holes in research funding. Notably, various specialized pieces of infrastructure will be funded, supporting a small fraction of Australia’s research capacity. And extra funding for GeoSciences Australia will help us find more resources to mine. Antarctic science is set to benefit from an expanded Antarctic program, including a new boat just over the horizon. But the announced support is haphazard against a background of cuts.
This is not an Ideas Boom. It’s business as usual – reduced funding across the board, and sprinkles of funding in pockets.
The standing ovation is over. Everyone has resumed their seats, with arms folded. The Ideas Boom is busted. Well, to be honest it can’t really be busted because it was never built.
In one of my subjects, I used data on the relationship between the global temperature and CO2 concentrations to teach how variability can mask relationships, making inference uncertain. The example was based on an Australian political debate in 2009 about whether the temperature of the Earth had stopped increasing despite an increase in atmospheric CO2.
With an Australian election looming in 2016, it seems timely to return to that debate, and evaluate the positions of the different protagonists now that we have some more data. It is nice to hold our politicians to account.
Let’s first look at the data. I will use the latest HadCRUT4 data for global surface temperature, and the average annual CO2 concentration data measured at Mauna Loa (both downloaded on 20 April 2016). We have the CO2 data from 1959 to 2015, so I will use that period. You can see that the CO2 concentration has continued to increase since 2008, largely unabated it would seem.
Atmospheric CO2 concentration as measured at Mauna Loa by NOAA. Data from 2009 onwards, available after the Senators’ debate, are shown in blue.
Temperature increases have been noticeably more variable, although that variation is consistent with annual variations of the past.
The HadCRUT4 measures of the global annual surface temperature anomaly, as measured by the Hadley Centre and the Climatic Research Unit.
Senator Wong believed that the Earth’s temperature would continue to increase in line with increases in CO2 concentrations. We can characterize that by a regression model that has a linear relationship with atmospheric CO2 over the entire time period. Of course, Senator Wong’s position was not just influenced by the data, but also by the overwhelming majority of climate scientists who agreed with her position given their understanding the Earth’s climate system. Nevertheless, we will ignore that extra information here.
We can estimate the best fitting line for such a relationship, and predict the uncertainty around it – this uncertainty represents the range of predicted variation given that the recorded temperature at the Earth’s surface only approximates the heat content of the world. In the graphs I show here, the uncertainty bounds are 95% prediction intervals – we expect 95% of the observations to fall within the bound represented by the dashed lines.
Subsequently, we can determine how well that relationship fits the data that have been collected from 2009 onwards. With the CO2 concentration increasing, the Earth’s temperature has continued to increase. However, that increase has been somewhat below the average trend, with the notable exception of the data in 2015, which has exhibited a large spike.
Relationship between the global temperature anomaly and CO2 concentration measured at Mauna Loa. The solid line is a linear regression, and the dashed lines are the 95% prediction interval. The regression was estimated on data up until 2008 (black dots), and the predictions are compared to data for 2009-2015 (blue dots).
However, we can say that Senator Wong’s position is largely consistent with the data collected after 2009; her predictions fall within the uncertainty bounds. Also, it is worth noting that the large spike in temperature in 2015 might well have been larger given the magnitude of increase in the CO2 concentration.
Senator Fielding believed that the Earth’s temperature had stopped increasing after 1998. We can characterize that by a regression model that has a linear relationship with atmospheric CO2 up until 1998, and then a flat line after that period. Again, we can estimate the best fitting model for such a relationship, characterize the uncertainty around the predictions, and compare those predictions to the data collected from 2009 onwards.
Relationship between the global temperature anomaly and CO2 concentrations measured at Mauna Loa. The solid line is a piecewise linear regression that fits a sloped line to data up until 1998, and then a flat line from 1999 to 2008. Data for 1998 were removed to reduce the influence of cherry picking. The regression was estimated for data up until 2008 (black dots), and the predictions are compared to data for 2009-2015 (blue dots).
Senator Fielding’s position was also largely in line with the data up until 2014. While the model characterizing Senator Wong’s position was a touch on the high side of the data, the model characterizing Senator Fielding’s position notably under-predicted the temperature.
And Senator Fielding’s model severely under-predicts the temperature of 2015 – the temperature spike of 2015 is well outside the expected bounds, even when considering the variation in the data.
So, here we are 7 years and several governments after this political debate. The data support Senator Wong’s position, and are now contradicting Senator Fielding’s position; the temperature continues to increase.
Note, the average temperature anomaly for 2016 so far is 0.979 C (based only on 2 months of HadCRUT4 data, so this is an uncertain estimate of the entirety of 2016). If that anomaly holds, we can conclude that Senator Fielding was sorely wrong, and even the model characterizing Senator Wong’s position might under-predict the temperate increase.
Seeing how atmospheric CO2 concentrations continue to increase, with concomitant increases in the heat content of the Earth, I can only conclude that the global community really should be acting much more rapidly. And I would hope that Australia would take the lead with this. I wonder the extent to which this will feature in the election campaign.


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If you can't afford time and materials to record an actual ink droplet over a thin glass layer, you can rely on CG to create them.
There are some tutorials to do so on proprietary software and some great ones to simulate a ink drop in blender. But neither combine the 2D ink bleed generation with libre software.
The nearest I could find is an answer on Stack Overflow which presents nice ideas which I'd like to extend in this post.
As shown in the Stack Overflow answer, you can use height maps to create an effect similar to a spreading stain. We'll reuse it and introduce some fractals to simulate ink spread physics.
To add this fractal element, we'll abuse the "ANT landscape" plugin which generate terrains. We'll then display progressively the terrain along its local Z axis.
We'll just enable the "ANT landscape" plugin which is bundled with blender but disabled by default.
Reach the User preferences (CTRL-ALT-u) and in the "Add-ons" tab, search for "ant" and enable the "ANT landscape" plugin. If you want the change to be permanent, don't forget to click "Save User Settings" down there.
Enable ANT landscape in blender user preferences.
We're aiming for a 2D like result so we'll configure the camera as a regular 2D camera in blender.
Select it and reset its rotation and position (ALT-g, ALT-r) then move it a bit away in Z (g z 5). Finally, on its "camera" tab, switch to "Orthographic" and set the "Orthographic scale" to "2".
As for the lightning, pick the default lamp, makes it a "sun" on its light tab and reset its rotation (ALT-r). This way, we don't have any cast shadows and keep the 2D illusion.
For once, we'll actually use the default cube ! Just move it away for now, we'll bring it back later.
Then we'll create a landscape to introduce our fractal content. With the 3D cursor still on (0,0,0) add a new "ANT landscape" (SHIFT-a > Mesh > Landscape).
Many settings appears. For now, leave the defaults excepted for the "subdivision" setting which you'll bump accordingly to your target resolution (for 1080p, you may pick 1024 for instance). Leaving the subvision too low may affect the sharpness of your ink bleed (but it will be much more CPU and RAM friendly). You can obviously play with them to change the final result and the demo video above shows some of the most important ones.
Bring back the default cube to the center (ALT-g) and move it along Z to just hide your landscape (g z and move your mouse).
Ensure you're at frame 1 and insert a location keyframe on your cube (i). That way, when you start your animation, the landscape is fully hidden.
Move your cube along Z to just reveal your landscape (g z and move your mouse). Move the timeline to your last frame and insert a location keyframe on your cube.
Check your animation (ALT-a) and how your cube reveal your terrain progressively.
Let's keep it simple. Assign a pure white on your cube and a pure black on your terrain for instance. For both, in the material, click on "Shadeless" in the "Shading" session, still for our 2D looks.
This simple material setup allows rendering preview in opengl and final renders in either blender internal or cycles engines.
You're now ready to render your full animation. Pick your resolution, your destination format and let the electrons grind !
You can now use your ink bleed animation in blender VSE, standalone or as transition, or in other video editors.
Change the terrain "noise size" to generate a bunch of small ink sources (low noise size) or a single ink source (high noise size).
Change the terrain "noise basis" to change the repartition of the spread (cellnoise gives interesting results).
Use strata to create pulses in your spread.
Change the random seed to keep the overall behaviour but change the shape of the spread.
Use a different shape to hide the terrain (a sphere for instance).
Use cycles to enable "ambient occlusion" shader on the hiding element for having some fringing/blurring during the growth.
Use the compositor to add a feather filter and/or colorize the result to create some ink diffusion feeling to your animation.
I hope you found this little trick useful. Feel free to ask for clarifications, comment on improvements and share your interpretation of ink bleeds.


text: Warrick-Kummer Funeral Home can be found at 28 N Main St . The following is offered: Funerals . In Columbiana there are 2 other Funerals. An overview can be found here.

industry_corpus2: Others


text:
Check out 5 best natural Sore Throat Home Remedies for Kids, Babies, Infants and Toddlers. Some natural fruits, herbs and kitchen ingredients like ginger, garlic, peppermint, chamomile, apple cider vinegar, eucalyptus oil, lemon, honey, salt and water had been effectively used for sore throat treatment for centuries.
Sore throat is a condition whereby an individual experiences pain in the throat. A sore throat may be a sign of infection, or it could be a sign that the organs known as vocal cords have strained and most of the time people seek medical help.
When it comes to children the old-fashioned grandmother home remedies are found more better relief for sore throats, flu and runny nose than the doctor prescribed medications. Especially when the later are chemicals after all with their on side-affects on growing kids. On the other hands, these centuries old time tested natural remedies rarely have side effects, cost next to nothing.
Hilary McClafferty, MD, a member of the American Academy of Pediatrics says that the modern day scientific studies confirm the soothing and healing abilities of these home remedies better than the pharmacologically active agents found in mainstream Allopathic medications.
It is vital to concede that there are natural home remedies that can be useful and easy to prepare. These centuries old home medications usually come in handy, especially for the kids who are uncomfortable with convesnional medications and treatment available at doctors.
Ginger is another component of the tea. Ginger is the herb that is widely used and part of the reason is due to its aromatic nature. This plant is used as an additive agent, and also used for its anti-inflammatory, anti-spasmolytic properties and its ability to relieve pain.
Garlic is one of the most nutritious plants in the planet. Garlic contains a chemical compound known as allicin. Allicin is a known antibiotic and anti-fungal agent, and this compound contributes significantly to properties of the garlic that enable it to kill microbes. Another important property of garlic is the fact that it has antioxidants that play a critical role in the boosting the immune system of the body.
A slice of the lemon fruit. The lemon fruit is an abundant source of quite a number of nourishing components. These nutritious elements include: Vitamin B, vitamin C, Phosphorous, carbohydrates and proteins. The lemon fruit also contains composites known as flavonoids, and their antioxidant ability plays a critical role in combating the fever, hypertension, and indigestion. The lemon’s ability to treat illness is explained by the fact that lemon increases perspiration.
Peppermint tea bags is the second ingredient. Peppermint is a plant that is used for treating a wide array of diseases. This plant is believed to contain antispasmodic properties that combat nausea and it also contains analgesic properties that fight In addition to these properties, peppermint contains critical minerals such as calcium and potassium and it also contains vitamin B: these constituents are paramount because they boost the immune system. Other associated benefits of peppermint include: relieving of stress, reduction of bad breath and relieving stomach associated discomforts like diarrhea and constipation. It is important to note that fresh peppermint leaves can be used if the teabags are not readily available.
The last ingredient needed is honey. Most people only value honey because of its unrivaled sweetness but it is critical to appreciate that honey has other beneficial properties. For instance, honey has antibacterial and antioxidant properties that make it essential for boosting the immune system. It has also been postulated that honey can ward off cancers.
Peel four cloves of garlic and then crush the cloves to tiny This procedure is necessary because the nutritious oils are released when the garlic is crushed.
Put the 4 cups of clean water into a kettle and then add the crushed garlic, eight slices of ginger and peppermint.
Boil this concoction for a period of 10 minutes. It is important to take note of the time because a compound known as allicin, which is found in garlic is an extremely nutritious compound that is sensitive to heat and therefore long boiling periods may destroy the complex.
Peel a lemon and squeeze the juice from the lemon and add to the mixture.
Add three to five tablespoons of honey to taste.
Serve the tea and enjoy it.
Most people underestimate the value that water and salt balance have on our bodies. The premise that equates water and life is not off the mark. The salt is used because of its draw water from the cells. This drawing out of water will lead to cell shrinkage and in turn decrease the pain that arises from the bloated cells.
Add half a teaspoon of pure Salt into the boiled water.
Licorice Tea is one of the best Sore Throat Home Remedies. Licorice root is the herb that is sweet and contains numerous beneficial effects. These benefits include antibacterial effects and that is why it is used for sore throat. Licorice contains compounds that play a role in the healing of ulcers, decreasing coughs, thinning mucus productions and decreasing cell swelling.
Cinnamon is the herb that contains antibacterial properties that play a critical role in fighting infections that are usually associated with a sore throat. The third ingredient of Licorice Tea as Sore Throat is Chamomile flowers.
Chop one portion of dried licorice.
Mix the licorice, cinnamon and chamomile flowers and mix thoroughly.
Place the mixture in a kettle of water that contains four cups.
Serve and enjoy the tea.
Boil two cups of water for about ten minutes.
Remove the water from the heat and add one tablespoon of the apple cider vinegar tonic.
Add at least one tablespoon of honey as a sweetener.
Serve the solution and drink the solution while it’s still hot.
Boil the water with the eucalyptus leaves in the water.Place the steaming water in the bowl, put your face near the bowl and cover with the towel.


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BWM has continued its management reshuffle with the appointment of Murray White to lead the creative division at the agency’s Melbourne office.
White, originally from Australia, will take on the role of executive creative director, relocating from the US where he worked in a similar role at Doner, one of the world's largest independent agencies.
The new position will see White manage Melbourne’s creative work, including clients such as REA, Simplot, John West, Leggo’s, KMart and Brown Brothers.
Carl Ratcliff, managing director of BWM Melbourne, said: “We’ve been on the search for the right person to help lead our growing Melbourne team. I knew when I first spoke to Murray that I had found my business match.
“We both have a big vision for the agency and about the journey on which we can take our clients,” he added.
Before moving to the US in 2009, White was the international creative director of Springer & Jacoby in Europe, where he was at the helm of some of the group’s most effective and award-winning creative work on Olympus and Mercedes-Benz.
He has won awards at Cannes, D&AD, Clio, Eurobest, Epica, LIAA and ADC.
“I’m truly fortunate to have worked with so many incredible brands and brand leaders all over the world," said White.
After many years abroad though, the opportunity to move back home and work with Australia’s biggest independent agency was too good to pass up,” he added.
Earlier this month BWM promoted stalwart Belinda Murray to the new role of client services director in Melbourne.


text:
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You can check The Games Factory 2, ArcSoft 3D Text Factory, X3 Factory Complex Calculator and other related programs like Super Lemonade Factory at the "download" section.


text:
I’m an African-American woman. I am Black, emphasis on the capitalization as I do own my Blackness. My Black identity lies within my spirit. I carry this identity through the texture of my hair and the styles I choose to protect these curly strands with. This identity is also strengthened by the way I use slang, the stride of my walk, and even in the way that I as a Black woman, think.
Despite my lack of knowledge of my ancestral lineage, I am well connected with my Black identity by constantly working towards breaking generational curses. I have faced some backlash from peers for not knowing what tribe I am a descendant of, as well as not pursuing the technological advances to seek out this information.
My Black identity lies within my spirit. I carry this identity through the texture of my hair and the styles I choose to protect these curly strands with. This identity is also strengthened by the way I use slang, the stride of my walk, and even in the way that I as a Black woman think.
I showcase my Black pride by practicing a natural hair regimen. It is a new journey for me but, it has been beyond liberating. I do this by using protective styles like braids, wigs, and overnight styles such as Bantu knots and twist outs.
Being Black to me means protecting my space and my energies from all negativity. In particular, one thing that I’ve learned on this campus as a woman who is Black is to not overextend myself and not to undermine my own experiences as it causes a disruption in my self-healing journey which no one else has control over other than myself.
Being Black to me means always self-reflecting without regret on who or what has gotten me to this place and space that I am in today. This has taught me that I do not need to censor myself in uncomfortable spaces because no one in that space knows what has brought me there. This applies specifically to whiter spaces that I am a member of and want to participate in, without the overwhelming facilitation of teaching my peers about Black experiences if it is too much.


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Cheers mate so SR could end up with an average rating of less than 3 then ?
Sorry 64 hadn't put my Bruce rating for Ian's pick.
Btw I was wandering through the supermarket tother day when Pearl Jam "Black" came back at me from the recesses of wherever I stored it a few weeks back.
SO THERE YOU GO GESSA!
I only discovered Talk Talk a couple of years ago. They probably passed me by in the 80s because of their poppier roots. The last three albums saw them moving in an ever more experimental direction. Spirit of Eden is the one I've listened to the most. I won't preempt anyone's reaction to it, but it's a unique album, and probably one of my top five.
I came across Calexico in 2003, at the time of Feast of Wire, when I was broadening my tastes into what was then called alt country. Calexico are more diverse than many, incorporating latin sounds and styles, jazz, and experimental soundscapes. I was tempted to choose that album as being more representative of the range of what they do, but Algiers has superseded it as my most played. I'll attempt to explain why I think it's great when you've all had a chance to listen.
I've drifted in and out of Calexico, nothing that grabbed hold but I've never listened to an entire album.
Last edited by faaip on Wed Apr 17, 2019 12:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
to me (and I listened to it twice to be sure) this was "jingly jangly" wishy washy and bland.
All the tracks seemed to merge into each other seamlessly and it all just sounded like 1 long track.
the drummer only seems to know 3 different beats, and I don't think the singer could garner any enthusiasm even with a V2 rocket up his arse..
So this is not going to be played by Hector again..
I find the albums tend to work as a whole. Algiers, particularly, for me, has an emotional journey which develops through the album. Many of their albums also have instrumental 'interludes' between the songs, which develop the atmosphere, but might sound strange on their own.
Bruce Springsteen - Darkness on the edge of town..
1st track started..... quite good, and then he started singing?? by the end of the track I was reaching for the espresso coffee, as I was driving........ hard to stay awake..
To be fair... the songs were all really good, and well written, just someone else needs to sing them..
and perhaps someone who's idea of pitch change is not to increase the volume.
New singer How many millions of Bruce Springsteen records have sold worldwide with Bruce on vocals ?
but how many have been played once or twice and then left to rot??


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U.S. tech firms have urged President Donald Trump to assuage European fears about the future of the EU-U.S. Privacy Shield after Trump's executive order striking privacy protections for foreigners, Fortune reports. While legal analysts have "downplayed that concern by pointing out that the order seems to include an exception for Privacy Shield," the report states, "given the recent skittishness of European regulators about U.S. surveillance, calls are mounting for the White House to publicly reassure Europeans the order doesn't affect their data." The Computer and Communications Industry Association's Bijan Madhani added that "Transatlantic digital trade is valued at $260 billion annually, and we would encourage the Administration to keep these substantial economic benefits in mind." Editor's Note: The IAPP will host Privacy Shield one-on-one consultations at the Europe Data Protection Intensive in London, England, March 14-16.
Sometimes in listening to chatter around international transfers and the status of Privacy Shield I sense the following frantic end to the sentence   " .  .   . because if we lose access to Privacy Shield we may then be forced to comply with that horrific new GDPR thing!  Hopefully the IAPP one-on-one consultations will re-affirm for registrants and potential registrants that Privacy Shield registration addresses only one component of GDPR compliance, so that there are no unpleasant international data transfer surprises come May 26, 2018.  A transfer which violates GDPR is illegal even if transferred to a bona fide Privacy Shield registrant.
Following up on Rogers comment, my understanding is after the GDPR comes into effect May 25, 2018, the Privacy Shield needs to be have been updated to suit. And we must not forget when we listen to a spokesperson from "the EU", we are listening to a representative of one of about 3 dozen member country DPAs and people in leadership positions in other EU bodies. Other representatives may think differently.
The Privacy Shield will need to be adjusted to be compliant with what all of these bodies want, no matter which one will be negotiating it on the EUs behalf -- I believe that would be the Commission.
Once all that is finalized, with duplicates from the Trump administration of the letters of assurance that Obama administration officials provided -- including the appointment of an Ombudsman -- and with specific assurances of how the US government would follow US privacy law, the Privacy Shield can theoretically be renewed.
And still, any individual in the 28 UE countries or various officials can bring any matter of alleged violation to one or more of 28 or so member country courts (soon to be 27) or possibly one or two EU courts any one of which can invalidate the entire Privacy Shield concept depending on the complaint.
To me, this looks like a series of really big hurdles to overcome before the renewal of the Privacy Shield can be considered probable this time and on a recurrent basis.


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September 15th marked the fifth anniversary of Wall Street giant Lehman Brothers going into bankruptcy, which precipitated the Great Recession that lingers on today — it remains the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history. To date, no executives have faced prosecution for the widespread mortgage fraud that fueled the bubble.
Moyers and Company caught up with a man who knows a lot about fraud — and fraud prosecutions — to explain why that is, and what the possible consequences of letting Wall Street off the hook might be. William K. Black, now a professor of law at the University of Missouri at Kansas City, is a former bank regulator who played an integral role in throwing a number of high-level executives in jail for white-collar crimes during the savings and loan crisis in the 1980s. We spoke with Black by phone. A lightly edited transcript of our discussion is below.
Joshua Holland: To date, a few loan officers — small fish — have been convicted of various offenses related to the financial crash. But none of the big bankers have faced any charges. And it’s not that the government has been losing cases in the courts. There’s simply been no concerted effort to prosecute these guys. Can you contrast that with what happened during the savings and loan scandal of the 1980s, and also give us your sense of why this has been the case?
William Black: Sure. The savings and loan debacle was one-seventieth the size of the current crisis, both in terms of losses and the amount of fraud. In that crisis, the savings and loan regulators made over 30,000 criminal referrals, and this produced over 1,000 felony convictions in cases designated as “major” by the Department of Justice. But even that understates the degree of prioritization, because we, the regulators, worked very closely with the FBI and the Justice Department to create a list of the top 100 — the 100 worst fraud schemes. They involved roughly 300 savings and loans and 600 individuals, and virtually all of those people were prosecuted. We had a 90 percent conviction rate, which is the greatest success against elite white-collar crime (in terms of prosecution) in history.
In the current crisis, that same agency, the Office of Thrift Supervision, which was supposed to regulate, among others, Countrywide, Washington Mutual and IndyMac — which collectively made hundreds of thousands of fraudulent mortgage loans — made zero criminal referrals. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which is supposed to regulate the largest national banks, made zero criminal referrals. The Federal Reserve appears to have made zero criminal referrals; it made three about discrimination. And the FDIC was smart enough to refuse to answer the question, but nobody thinks they made any material number of criminal referrals [either].
So a couple of things should be obvious. First, the FBI agents will not have expertise in the industry. And second, they can’t patrol the beat. They have to wait until a criminal referral comes in, and won’t come from the bank itself. Banks don’t make criminal referrals against their CEOs.
It could episodically come from whistleblowers, but against an epidemic of fraud that can never work. It has to come overwhelmingly from the regulators. So when the regulators ceased making criminal referrals — which had nothing to do with an end of crime, obviously; it just had to do with a refusal to be involved in the prosecutorial effort anymore — they doomed us to a disaster where we would not succeed.
Back in the savings and loan crisis, people like me — and I did this personally a great deal of my time — trained not only our regulators, but also the FBI agents and assistant U.S. attorneys on how to identify fraud schemes, how to respond to them and how to document them. We also detailed our top examiners on the most complex frauds, so that they worked for the FBI as their internal experts, and then people like me testified as expert witnesses. And, again, we had prioritized so we were going against the absolute worst of the worst and most senior of the people. None of those things have happened now.
Because of changes in executive compensation, it’s very uncommon for people to blow the whistle in the modern era. What people often don’t understand is that executive compensation bonuses go down very low in the food chain. And so if I’m a boss and I see a crime being committed, it isn’t just that I risk losing my bonus, it’s that Fred and Mary who report to me — Fred with three kids about to go to college and Mary with a kid that has severe problems — they’ll lose their bonuses as well. And so it’s not even my greed — it’s my altruism that gets in the way.
And then the administration has never — both the Bush and the Obama administrations — made a call for the good people to come forward, the ones who fought against the frauds and were disciplined because they did so. And the Frontline special that investigated this found that as soon as word got out, they were deluged with people giving them information, and the common characteristic Frontline found was that the FBI had never even talked to them.
And of course, the Obama administration has been having an unholy war against whistleblowers.
Holland: It almost sounds like — if I could offer an analogy — if you were trying to prosecute homicides and you had no police on the streets, no homicide detectives and no snitches, your hands would be tied, even if you were a tenacious prosecutor with some ambition.
Black: It’s actually far worse than that, because as a prosecutor of those kinds of cases, I end up with a corpse that has a small entry wound and a large exit wound, and I know there’s been a homicide. I can use forensic evidence to go after those people, even in the absence of witnesses. No such things occur in the elite white-collar sphere. Instead, the lenders were making criminal referrals against the little guys — the hairdressers of the world. And they made hundreds of thousands of them.
So at the peak of the savings and loans crisis — again, one-seventieth the size of this crisis — of those 2,300 total FBI agents, 1,000 of them were working on just one industry, the savings and loan industry, to produce that incredible wave of success that we had. As recently as fiscal year 2007, there were only 120 FBI agents assigned to mortgage fraud, and that’s despite the fact that the FBI itself, in September 2004, warned that there was an epidemic of mortgage fraud — ‘epidemic’ was their word — and predicted that it would cause a financial crisis — ‘crisis’ was their word — unless it was stopped. So what happens instead? You get tens of thousands of criminal referrals about the small fish. And so every single one of those 120 FBI agents was working those cases.
Black: And there was no national task force. They were divided up into what the military would call “penny packets” — two in this office, three in this office, that type of thing. So there was no conceivable way that they would find fraud at the large institutions, because they never looked.
And actually, that same year, in 2007, the FBI forms what it calls a partnership with the Mortgage Bankers Association — the trade association of the perps. The Mortgage Bankers Association set out — imagine the audacity — to con the FBI, and they succeeded! They ginned up this fake definition of mortgage fraud under which the lending institution was always the victim and never a perpetrator. The FBI bought into this hook, line, sinker and the boat they rode out in.
So we have the incredible anomaly of the first African-American president of the United States of America, with an African-American attorney general, Mr. Holder, adopting the tea party definition of the crisis, which says that the banks were pure and this is the first virgin crisis, conceived without sin in the executive suites. Instead it’s those nasty ultra-sophisticated hairdressers who conned the poor unsophisticated bankers from Harvard and Columbia and NYU to cause this crisis.
Holland: Right. Conservatives are convinced that the Community Reinvestment Act played a major role, despite a dozen studies showing that it did not, and it’s like a zombie myth. You can stab it and you can shoot it and it just keeps walking.
Black: Look at liar’s loans — these are the loans where you don’t verify the borrower’s income, and the industry’s own experts said that these loans were 90 percent fraudulent.
Study after study after study has shown that it was the lenders who put the lies in liar’s loans — the lenders and their agents — and nobody ever made a bank make a liar’s loan. It has nothing to do with the Community Reinvestment Act. Because the purpose of it is to inflate the borrower’s income, it takes you out of Community Reinvestment, and no entity — and this includes Fannie and Freddie — was ever required to purchase a liar’s loan. In fact, [liar’s loans] didn’t qualify as credit for affordable housing goals because you didn’t verify the borrower’s income.
So after all these warnings from the industry’s own anti-fraud experts about them being 90 percent fraudulent, and the fact that even the Bush Administration anti-regulators said, “Don’t do these things,” the industry, between 2003 and 2006, increased liar’s loans by over 500 percent. By 2006, 40 percent of all the home loans made that year and half of all the loans called “subprime” were liar’s loans. Remember, there’s a 90 percent fraud incidence in all of this. That means there were over two million fraudulent loans made in 2006 alone.
Now, that’s one way of looking at it, but even more stark is, in the year 2000 — we are talking about over 13 years ago — the group of associations of honest appraisers created a petition and circulated it widely throughout Washington, D.C. and the industry. They went to all the regulators and prosecutors in the industry — it was eventually signed by over 11,000 appraisers. And the appraisers, here’s what they said: ‘There is an epidemic of lenders who are extorting us to inflate the appraisal, and when we refuse to do so, they blacklist honest appraisers and refuse to use them in the future.’ Now, note the date again: 2000. This is over a year before Enron hits. In other words, we got a warning about this crisis before Enron failed.
You can only sell a fraudulent loan through fraud, and there’s no fraud exorcist, so fraud has to go through the system and it has to come out the other end when they sell the CDOs — the collateralized debt obligations — and the mortgage-backed securities.
The Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act of 1994 allowed the Federal Reserve, and only the Federal Reserve, to stop liar’s loans at any time. First Alan Greenspan and then Ben Bernanke refused to use this authority. Bernanke, finally, under congressional pressure, used this authority on July 14, 2008, to kill liar’s loans. But even then, he delayed the effective date of the rule by 15 months, because you wouldn’t want to inconvenience a fraudulent lender.
Holland: Unbelievable. Just unbelievable. Let me ask you this: Up until the dot-com bubble burst in 2000, the size of the financial services industry grew and shrank along with the larger economy. It moved more or less with the business cycle. When the economy was booming, finance grew as businesses needed more loans and people wanted to buy big ticket items. And then when we were in a recession, it tended to shrink. But that never happened after the dot-com bubble burst. Finance was about 8 percent of our economy and it stayed that way until today — it had little ups and downs, but the trend line has been pretty consistent. Bill, finance made up less than 3 percent of our economy in 1950. What does this say about where we are today economically? What does this tell you?
Black: It tells us that the tail wags the dog, and that it wags the dog into recurrent crises. So it’s like a diseased tail. A tail is of course designed for balance and it’s supposed to help things right themselves. This tail throws folks into the ditch.
In addition to the numbers you gave, the percentage of all corporate profits that go to finance is now back up to roughly 40 percent. That is staggering.
It should be small, and you should be trying to minimize it, and it should have very low returns overall in your economy. It’s all about power. And it is not just economic power — it’s political power. This is the modern face of crony capitalism. It is the great threat, not just to our economy, but also to our democracy. That’s particularly true in a Citizens United world, in which these banks can use their political power to drive what we’ve seen.
I could’ve never imagined that in my lifetime an administration would actually say that there were entities too big to prosecute.
Black: Right, too big to jail. I actually developed that phrase before this as a way of trying to embarrass the administration. But I’ve given up. They’re beyond the ability to embarrass. They adopted the phrase.
Holland: Bill, let me ask you this — and I guess I’m shifting gears here just a little bit. What does the term ‘moral hazard’ mean, and how do you think the fact that we didn’t prosecute any bankers — and that we bailed out the industry — will affect Wall Street’s behavior going forward?
Black: Moral hazard is a concept that developed originally in insurance and was quickly applied to banking as well. It says when there’s a real asymmetry between risk and reward, you can produce either fraud or wildly imprudent risk, or both, and that either of these things in the banking context can lead to disastrous financial consequences.
Even though we have known for centuries that this produces what we who study criminality now call “control fraud” — when the people who control a seemingly legitimate entity use it as a weapon to defraud — suddenly when they get to moral hazard, neoclassical economists only talk about risk. They ignore the fraud component, which is a leading cause of the most catastrophic bank failures and bank crises.
Holland: And they also only talk about it for the little people defrauding the banks.
Holland: The hairdressers. They’re the ones we have to worry about.
Black: Yes, and the FBI and the Justice Department are the brave, virtuous people who are protecting the poor innocent bankers from the blood lust — I am quoting, by the way, the Washington Post — “the blood lust of the public” that wants to go after these poor innocent bankers. And fortunately, we live in a country like America, where the lawyers or the Justice Department are unwilling to be so unjust as to follow the crass prejudices of the public.
The failure to prosecute under any theory of economics and any theory of criminality means that the next crisis is far more likely, and that it’s going to be far larger, because this accounting control fraud recipe is a sure thing that guarantees that you will be made wealthy immediately as the controlling officers, and there will be no risk — zero. Not a single elite banker who caused this crisis is in prison, period. So you have absolutely maximized what we call a “criminogenic environment,” and a key element of that, as you say, is that we have taken moral hazard — the fraud dimension — and maximized it.
Holland: My final question is, very briefly, about the regulatory response we did get following the crash. Dodd-Frank has been hailed as a significant new reform by some; it has been panned as a watered down nothing-burger by others. Does the truth lie somewhere in between, and how much risk remains in this system?
Black: Right now, less risk is apparent because the economy is so crippled. Once we get back to a boom, the bad stuff will reemerge. So the good news/bad news about the weak recovery is that it’s slowing down the next crisis by continuing the current crisis.
Dodd-Frank doesn’t address any of the three central elements that create the criminogenic environment — that produce the recurrent, intensifying epidemics of control fraud that drive our ever-worsening crises. Those three elements are, first, the creation of the systemically dangerous institutions — the so-called “too-big-to-fail” firms. And the administration won’t even begin to be honest about them. It calls them “systemically important,” like they deserve a gold star. But their definition is when — not if, but when — the next one fails, it will, like Lehman, cause a global financial crisis.
These institutions are too big to manage effectively, so there would be a complete win-win-win-win were we to force the shrinkage of the systemically dangerous institutions down to the point where they no longer endanger the global economy. We would, first, reduce global systemic risk. Second, we would make markets far more efficient. Even conservatives say that when there’s a systemically dangerous institution, free markets are a myth, and their metaphor is that it’s like bringing a gun to a knife fight when they compete against anyone else. So we would have better markets. We’d have more efficient banks, because these are too big to manage, and we would remove crony capitalism, one of the leading threats to our democracy. Dodd-Frank doesn’t deal effectively at all with the systemically dangerous institutions. Its idea is to keep them around, which is nuts.
Second big thing is modern executive compensation, which creates the perverse incentive structures and is the means of looting that the CEOs use. That has gotten worse since the crisis and there is nothing effective in Dodd-Frank dealing with either executive or professional compensation.
The third area is what we call the three Ds. These are deregulation, de-supervision and de facto decriminalization. We’ve already talked about decriminalization, so that’s as bad as it can get. No prosecutions.
Deregulation, that’s slightly been reversed. We have banned liar’s loans. We have created a new consumer bureau that, you know, time will tell whether it can be effective. But that’s pretty much it in terms of regulation. There’s stuff on the Volcker Rule, and we still don’t know whether it’s going to get out of the industry’s embrace, but we certainly know they’ll be able to evade it under Dodd-Frank. So, deregulation, a little plus, but nothing to brag about.
De-supervision is still disastrous. We still have the Holders of the world refusing to prosecute, we still have anti-regulators in most of the agencies. So de-supervision? Boy, we’ve still got that in spades.

industry_corpus2: Finance & Economics


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Meet Jack T. Griffeth, MD, MPH, of NGPG Radiation Oncology. Dr. Griffeth earned a B.S. in Biology from Davidson College, his medical degree from the Medical College of Georgia and is board certified in Radiation Oncology. He completed two years of surgery residency at the Medical College of Georgia and his oncology training at the University of Washington.
Dr. Griffeth served as medical director of the radiation oncology program at Gaston Memorial Hospital in North Carolina and has worked as a radiation oncologist at NGMC since 1994. He served as NGMC Chief of Medical Staff in 2003 and is a cancer survivor since 1992.


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Hi friends. We have had a busy weekend. First it started snowing Friday Morning and didn't stop until we had about 13 inches on the ground. It sure looked pretty if you didn't have to go out in it.
Our puppy loves the snow. She sticks her nose down in it and runs through the highest drifts in the backyard like a deer. Hard to get her in, she just wants to play in it.
My daughter Heidi and my Grandson Mike playing with her in the snow.
She is getting so big, 9 months old in two days!
Secondly, my hubby had an emergency apendectomy on Friday. We spent the entire day in the emergency room, waiting for tests and scans. We went in at 10am and surgery was at 6:15PM.
do you believe this man!!!
hospital on Friday night at around 9 pm. It looked like a loaf of bread, you couldn't even see the car.
Hope you all enjoyed your weekend. Tomorrow is House Mouse Monday, and I have a fun card for you, and my local stamp store post also with a cute card idea.
Wow What a weekend you had. I'm so glad Hubby is all right now. While you are describing him, I was thinking you were married to my Hubby. The sound identical. Look at the baby, Keeya. She is having so much fun. So beautiful. I hope this week slows down for you a bit. We got 28 inches and I haven't seen Hubby because he works for the Electric Company. Shoveling is going very, very slow at my house. Stay safe.
Hope all is well with the hubby and he is progressing OK after the hockey game, men - can you believe them:O). Isn't it wonderful how they can operate these days with so little damage done!
I have been thinking about you, Sue and wondering how you faired with all of the snow. So sorry your husband had appendicitis in all of it! So glad everything turned out OK and he could even make a hockey game! Love the pictures of your puppy in the snow. Stay warm my friend!


text: Once upon a time there lived a brother and sister who were complete opposites and constantly fought and argued. One day they discovered the tunnel. The boy goes through it at once, dismissing his sister's fears. When he doesn't return his sister has to pluck up the courage to go through the tunnel too.

industry_corpus2: Literature & Emotions


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Huge 805sqm block in popular new estate in the seaside town of Dongara.
Set amidst quality established homes, this block of land is just waiting for you!
Dongara in only 3.5 hours from Perth and 45 minutes from the thriving port city of Geraldton.